This is when AI’s top researchers think artificial general intelligence will be achieved

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Author: James Vincent

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At the heart of the discipline of artificial intelligence is the idea that one day we’ll be able to build a machine that’s as smart as a human. Such a system is often referred to as an artificial general intelligence, or AGI, which is a name that distinguishes the concept from the broader field of study. It also makes it clear that true AI possesses intelligence that is both broad and adaptable. To date, we’ve built countless systems that are superhuman at specific tasks, but none that can match a rat when it comes to general brain power.

But despite the centrality of this idea to the field of AI, there’s little agreement among researchers as to when this feat might actually be achievable.

Researchers guess by 2099, there’s a 50 percent...

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